Main content

Does the Risk of Recidivism for Supervised Offenders Improve Over Time? Examining Changes in the Dynamic Risk Characteristics for Offenders under Federal Supervision

Volume 78 Number 2
September 2014

In order to assess how federal offenders fare during their supervision term, the authors tracked a population of 21,152 offenders placed on federal supervision from May 2010 through October 2013. The study found that many offenders initially classified at the highest risk levels moved to a lower risk category by their second assessment and that these changes were mostly driven by imporvements in offenders' employment and substance abuse-related dynamic factors.